Friday, 10 February 2012

Where does Newt Gingrich go after big losses Tuesday?

Newt Gingrich got trounced Tuesday.?His plan has been built on surviving until Super Tuesday, where geography favors him more. But it's hard to see how Mr. Gingrich will be able to rebound.

If Tuesday night was a bad one for Mitt Romney, who didn't come out on top in any of the three GOP nominating contests, it was a worse one for Newt Gingrich.

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The former House speaker finished dead last in Minnesota, barely squeaked by Ron Paul in Colorado, and wasn't even on the ballot in Missouri.

The contests mean little when it comes to delegates. Missouri's primary was essentially a "beauty contest" before the state awards its delegates in caucuses next month, and the caucuses in Colorado and Minnesota were nonbinding, though they'll influence the delegate selection.

But for a man who just weeks ago was coming off a big win in South Carolina and seemed to have all the momentum going his way, such a total loss was still bad news.

And while no delegates were awarded, the Tuesday results do matter significantly in terms of money, which Mr. Gingrich needs. Conservative Republican donors who funded Gingrich when he seemed like the best chance to avoid a Romney nomination are now likely to turn to Rick Santorum, who with a sweep of Tuesday's contests now takes on the mantle of conservative "anti-Romney."

Gingrich's polling trends don't look good either. Since his peak right after the South Carolina primaries, he's been going steadily downhill, according to Gallup's daily rolling average. Mr. Romney and Mr. Santorum, on the other hand, are climbing.

He also made some key tactical errors, and came across to viewers as angry and out-of-touch in his Nevada post-caucus press conference. (Gingrich opted for the press conference rather than a concession speech, and failed to congratulate Romney on his win.) On Tuesday night, he opted not to speak at all.

Gingrich knew February would be a tough month for him. He had no organization and had done little campaigning in all four of the states voting in the first part of the month, and none of them was a natural fit for him. Even worse, the month is sparse on his strong suit: debates. There is just one debate scheduled on Feb. 22, in Arizona.

His plan has been built on surviving until Super Tuesday, where geography favors him more ? Georgia, Oklahoma, and Tennessee all vote then, as does Ohio, where Gingrich is spending more time and money and believes he can be competitive.

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/-TzfPVyDY3o/Where-does-Newt-Gingrich-go-after-big-losses-Tuesday

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